Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Mortgage meltdown

If you have been reading the newspaper or watching Good Morning America this morning. You would have heard about the mortgage meltdown. What does the mortgage meltdown really mean to the average consumer?
Let's start with why it happened. Banks, and lenders began loosening lending guidelines about 6-7 years ago. They made it easier for almost anybody to get a loan. You did not have to show employment sometimes, sometimes you did not have to verify income, and sometimes you did not even need one dime to buy a house. It was easy to get a loan even if you were self-employed, had a recent bankruptcy, or even a prior foreclosure.
The gurus in the back room thought they had figured out the projected default rate. They factored that into the interest rate. So if 10 out of a 1000 people were going to default as they guessed then they charged a little higher rate to everybody. Just like they do with credit cards. The good payers subsidize the losses of the non-payers. That is the way of business.
Well unfortunately the gurus in the back room under figured the losses. So long as the real estate market is going up all was well. The foreclosures are huge right now. Especially Michigan foreclosures, we are near the top of the list. The banks, the lenders, and investment portfolios are taking losses. Yes investment portfolios, mortgages were being bundled up and sold on wall street. They are in various mutual funds and hedge funds now. So those funds are going to lose a little value here and there.
But the major consequence of what is happening is that lenders are going out of business, there is a tightening of loan criteria. No longer can anybody just sign and get a loan. There are less choices and less programs for loan officers. Less choices for consumers. So some people that could have bought a house last year with no money down, may need money or may not even be able to get a loan. Before lenders could sell those loans on wall street, now wall street wants nothing to do with them because of all the losses. It's not profitable.
Less people on Wall Street to sell to, less companies able to stay in business, less choices and fewer easy options for Mortgages for the average consumer.
Interest Rates are going to be higher for non-conforming people. People with bruised credit, self-employed people with no verifiable income, people with no reserves are non-conforming people.
Where the biggest danger is that some of adjustable rate mortgages may rise quickly. Good Morning America was saying that you needed to be in a 30 year fixed rate mortgage if you could be. I think that is a great idea. We are near the low point of mortgage rates. Rates may come down a little but the possibility of them going up is greater.
So if you are thinking of selling to get out from under your mortgage, or just thinking of moving out of state.... you can check your houses value at www.checkmyhousesvalue.com
I always thought people should have a little reserves when they buy a home. What happens if the furnace fails or the roof leaks. Sure it's nice to buy a home, but I would like my clients to be able to afford the home. So they can be in it 5 -10 years down the road and not lose it to foreclosure. If you want more information on mortgages, want a good rate feel free to call me at (313) 310-9855 or go to my website at www.russravary.com May life treat you and your family well today. Russ Ravary

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